Straw polls for the Republican Party (United States) presidential nomination, 2008
Because varying presentation methods of the same statistics can subjectively affect perceived results, several reasonable presentation methods are contrasted below. Except for the candidate list and narrative presentation, only the ACTIVE registered multistate Republican campaigns are considered.
Candidates
The following official and potential 2008 candidates have appeared in Republican straw poll results: George Allen, [...] Armey, Haley Barbour, Sam Brownback, George W. Bush, Jeb Bush, Tom Coburn, Hugh Cort, John Cox, Jerry Curry, Susan Ducey, Bob Ehrlich, Cap Fendig, Steve Forbes, Bill Frist, Daniel Gilbert, Jim Gilmore, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Chuck Hagel, Robert Haines, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, Alan Keyes, Stan Lockhart, John McCain, Ray McKinney, Candice Miller, George Pataki, Ron Paul, Mike Pence, David Petraeus, George Phillies, Colin Powell, Condoleezza Rice, Mitt Romney, Mark Sanford, Rick Santorum, Richard Michael Smith, Keith Sprankle, Tom Tancredo, Fred Thompson, Tommy Thompson. The category "Other" includes all other straw poll responses (undecided, blank, fictitious, invalid, etc.) and is treated as an additional candidate for ranking purposes.
Map
Each state and D.C. has been colored to represent its most recent straw poll winner. These polls, however, may not be representative of the entire state since many are smaller, local straw polls, and some are several months old. The numbers of states in which each candidate has won the state's most recent straw poll are as follows:
1. Ron Paul (18)
2. Mitt Romney (9, plus District of Columbia)
3. Fred Thompson (7)
4. Rudy Giuliani (2)
5. Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter (1)
7. Alan Keyes, John McCain (0)
Narrative
The following 103 poll results (including 1 international poll and 9 multiparty polls) are sorted by U.S. state. Where data is incomplete, it reflects all data available at source.
Alabama
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
GOP Poll |
2007-10-13 (199) |
Ron Paul 115 (58%), Fred Thompson 31 (16%), Rudy Giuliani 18 (9%), Mitt Romney 16 (8%), Mike Huckabee 8 (4%), Duncan Hunter 5 (3%), John McCain 3 (2%), Sam Brownback 1 (1%), Hugh Cort 1 (1%), Other 1 (1%). |
Republican Assembly |
2007-08-18 (266) |
Ron Paul 216 (81.2%), Mitt Romney 14 (5.3%), Duncan Hunter 10 (3.8%), Fred Thompson 9 (3.4%), Rudy Giuliani 7 (2.6%), Mike Huckabee 6 (2.3%), John McCain 2 (0.8%), Sam Brownback 2 (0.8%), Tom Tancredo 0 (0.0%). |
Arizona
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
Graham County Fair |
2007-11-05 (71) |
Mitt Romney 29 (41%), John McCain 26 (37%), Mike Huckabee 5 (7%), Fred Thompson 4 (6%), Sam Brownback 3 (4%), Rudy Giuliani 3 (4%), Ron Paul 1 (1%). |
Republicans Meeting |
2007-01-13 (458) |
Duncan Hunter 96 (21.0%), Mitt Romney 82 (17.9%), Other 77 (16.8%), Newt Gingrich 53 (11.6%), John McCain 50 (10.9%), Condoleezza Rice 27 (5.9%), Tom Tancredo 24 (5.2%), Rudy Giuliani 22 (4.8%), Sam Brownback 14 (3.1%), Mike Huckabee 10 (2.2%), Chuck Hagel 2 (0.4%), Haley Barbour 1 (0.2%), George Pataki 0 (0.0%). |
Arkansas
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
Republican Assembly Convention |
2007-07-22 |
Fred Thompson 86%, Other 14%. |
California
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
GOP Poll |
2007-12-06 (313) |
Mitt Romney 117 (37.4%), Ron Paul 73 (23.3%), Rudy Giuliani 51 (16.3%), Duncan Hunter 36 (11.5%), Mike Huckabee 14 (4.5%), John McCain 12 (3.8%), Fred Thompson 10 (3.2%), Tom Tancredo 0 (0.0%). |
Fresno County GOP |
2007-11-15 |
Ron Paul 35%, Rudy Giuliani 33%, Other 32%. |
National Federation of Republican Women |
2007-09-29 (721) |
Rudy Giuliani 362 (50.2%), Fred Thompson 151 (20.9%), Mitt Romney 104 (14.4%), Mike Huckabee 48 (6.7%), Duncan Hunter 29 (4.0%), John McCain 13 (1.8%), Tom Tancredo 9 (1.2%), Ron Paul 3 (0.4%), Sam Brownback 2 (0.3%). |
2007-04-24 (114) |
Fred Thompson 28 (25%), Duncan Hunter 22 (19%), Mitt Romney 22 (19%), Ron Paul 14 (12%), Tom Tancredo 9 (8%), Newt Gingrich 8 (7%), Rudy Giuliani 8 (7%), Sam Brownback 3 (3%), Mike Huckabee 0 (0%), John McCain 0 (0%), Tommy Thompson 0 (0%). |
Colorado
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
Adams County GOP |
2007-09-26 (29) |
Rudy Giuliani 8 (28%), Fred Thompson 7 (24%), Mike Huckabee 3 (10%), Mitt Romney 3 (10%), Tom Tancredo 3 (10%), Sam Brownback 2 (7%), Newt Gingrich 1 (3%), Duncan Hunter 1 (3%), Ron Paul 1 (3%). |
District of Columbia
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
CPAC |
2007-03-03 (1705) |
Mitt Romney 21%, Rudy Giuliani 17%, Sam Brownback 15%, Newt Gingrich 14%, John McCain 12%, Other 6th, Tom Tancredo 7th, Ron Paul 8th, Jim Gilmore 9th, Mike Huckabee 10th, Duncan Hunter 11th. |
CPAC |
2006-02-11 (1251) |
George Allen 22%, John McCain 20%, Rudy Giuliani 12%, Condoleezza Rice 10%, Other 9%, Bill Frist 6%, Newt Gingrich 5%, Mitt Romney 5%, Tom Tancredo 5%, George Pataki 3%, Rick Santorum 3%. |
Florida
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
Duval County/UNF Mock Convention |
2007-11-15 (493) |
Ron Paul 112 (22.7%), Rudy Giuliani 88 (17.8%), Mike Huckabee 75 (15.2%), Fred Thompson 62 (12.6%), Duncan Hunter 57 (11.6%), John McCain 52 (10.5%), Mitt Romney 38 (7.7%), Alan Keyes 9 (1.8%), Tom Tancredo 0 (0.0%). |
Values Voter Debate |
2007-09-17 (348) |
Mike Huckabee 219 (62.9%), Ron Paul 44 (12.6%), Alan Keyes 24 (6.9%), Sam Brownback 18 (5.2%), Fred Thompson 15 (4.3%), Duncan Hunter 13 (3.7%), Tom Tancredo 7 (2.0%), Rudy Giuliani 4 (1.1%), John Cox 2 (0.6%), John McCain 2 (0.6%), Mitt Romney 0 (0.0%). |
Young Republicans |
2007-07-06 (347) |
Mitt Romney 163 (47.0%), Fred Thompson 103 (30.0%), Rudy Giuliani 37 (10.7%), Mike Huckabee 14 (4.0%), Duncan Hunter 14 (4.0%), Ron Paul 11 (3.2%), John McCain 5 (1.4%). |
Georgia
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
Gwinnett County GOP Poll |
2007-09-30 (94) |
Ron Paul 34 (36%), Rudy Giuliani 19 (20%), Fred Thompson 18 (19%), Mike Huckabee 16 (17%), Mitt Romney 3 (3%), Duncan Hunter 1 (1%), John McCain 1 (1%), David Petraeus 1 (1%), Condoleezza Rice 1 (1%). |
Dekalb County Straw Poll |
2007-08-24 (85) |
Ron Paul 20 (24%), Rudy Giuliani 18 (21%), Mitt Romney 16 (19%), Fred Thompson 12 (14%), John McCain 7 (8%), Mike Huckabee 6 (7%), Tom Tancredo 3 (4%), Other 2 (2%), Newt Gingrich 1 (1%), Sam Brownback 0 (0%), Duncan Hunter 0 (0%). |
Fulton County Republican Barbecue |
2007-07-21 |
Fred Thompson 36%, Mitt Romney 29%, Rudy Giuliani 20%, Newt Gingrich 5%, John McCain 3%, Ron Paul 3%, Other 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%. |
GOP Poll |
2007-07-04 (247) |
Fred Thompson 73 (29.6%), Ron Paul 43 (17.4%), Mitt Romney 38 (15.4%), Mike Huckabee 33 (13.4%), Newt Gingrich 29 (11.7%), Rudy Giuliani 26 (10.5%), John McCain 2 (0.8%), Tom Tancredo 2 (0.8%), Jim Gilmore 1 (0.4%), Sam Brownback 0 (0.0%), Duncan Hunter 0 (0.0%), Tommy Thompson 0 (0.0%). |
2007-05-19 |
Fred Thompson 44%, Newt Gingrich 18%, Rudy Giuliani 15%, Mitt Romney 9%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Duncan Hunter 2%, John McCain 2%, Ron Paul 2%, Tommy Thompson 1%, Sam Brownback 0%, John Cox 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Tom Tancredo 0%. |
Idaho
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
National Caucus #129 |
2007-12-07 (4) |
Fred Thompson 3 (75%), Other 1 (25%). |
Illinois
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
Milton Township Republican Central Committee |
2007-10-27 (257) |
Rudy Giuliani 95 (37.0%), Fred Thompson 63 (24.5%), Mitt Romney 34 (13.2%), John McCain 29 (11.3%), Mike Huckabee 14 (5.4%), Ron Paul 14 (5.4%), Duncan Hunter 5 (1.9%), Tom Tancredo 3 (1.2%). |
2007-08-16 (922) |
Mitt Romney 373 (40.5%), Fred Thompson 184 (20.0%), Ron Paul 174 (18.9%), Rudy Giuliani 107 (11.6%), John McCain 38 (4.1%), Mike Huckabee 28 (3.0%), Sam Brownback 10 (1.1%), Duncan Hunter 6 (0.7%), Tom Tancredo 2 (0.2%). |
|
2007-08-16 (48) |
Fred Thompson 22 (46%), Rudy Giuliani 13 (27%), Mitt Romney 9 (19%), Mike Huckabee 2 (4%), Duncan Hunter 1 (2%), John McCain 1 (2%). |
Indiana
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
Tippecanoe County Republicans |
2007-08-18 (179) |
Mitt Romney 48 (27%), Fred Thompson 48 (27%), Rudy Giuliani 26 (15%), Mike Huckabee 21 (12%), Ron Paul 21 (12%), John McCain 7 (4%), Sam Brownback 4 (2%), Duncan Hunter 2 (1%), Tom Tancredo 2 (1%). |
Iowa
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
2007-12-05 (86) |
Mike Huckabee 36 (42%), Ron Paul 29 (34%), John McCain 18 (21%), Mitt Romney 3 (3%), Rudy Giuliani 0 (0%), Duncan Hunter 0 (0%), Tom Tancredo 0 (0%), Fred Thompson 0 (0%). |
|
City High School Caucus |
2007-12-04 (77) |
Ron Paul 20 (26%), Rudy Giuliani 18 (23%), Mike Huckabee 17 (22%), Mitt Romney 11 (14%), Duncan Hunter 3 (4%), John McCain 3 (4%), Tom Tancredo 3 (4%), Fred Thompson 2 (3%). |
GOP Poll |
2007-08-11 (14302) |
Mitt Romney 4516 (31.58%), Mike Huckabee 2587 (18.09%), Sam Brownback 2192 (15.33%), Tom Tancredo 1961 (13.71%), Ron Paul 1305 (9.12%), Tommy Thompson 1039 (7.26%), Fred Thompson 203 (1.42%), Rudy Giuliani 183 (1.28%), Duncan Hunter 174 (1.22%), John McCain 101 (0.71%), John Cox 41 (0.29%). |
Kansas
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
National Caucus #127 |
2007-12-07 (84) |
Ron Paul 79 (94%), Did Not Vote 5 (6%). |
Kentucky
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
State Fair |
2007-08-29 (1141) |
Mitt Romney 242 (21.2%), Rudy Giuliani 216 (18.9%), Mike Huckabee 208 (18.2%), Fred Thompson 196 (17.2%), John McCain 108 (9.5%), Ron Paul 78 (6.8%), Sam Brownback 51 (4.5%), Duncan Hunter 34 (3.0%), Tom Tancredo 8 (0.7%). |
Maryland
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
2007-09-05 (911) |
Ron Paul 263 (28.9%), Rudy Giuliani 220 (24.1%), Fred Thompson 188 (20.6%), Mitt Romney 89 (9.8%), John McCain 54 (5.9%), Mike Huckabee 35 (3.8%), Newt Gingrich 17 (1.9%), Tom Tancredo 16 (1.8%), Sam Brownback 12 (1.3%), Other 11 (1.2%), Bob Ehrlich 3 (0.3%), Duncan Hunter 3 (0.3%). |
Massachusetts
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
Straw Poll |
2007-07-26 (78) |
Mitt Romney 32 (41%), Rudy Giuliani 17 (22%), Fred Thompson 17 (22%), John McCain 7 (9%), Mike Huckabee 2 (3%), Tom Tancredo 2 (3%), Newt Gingrich 1 (1%), Sam Brownback 0 (0%), Duncan Hunter 0 (0%), Ron Paul 0 (0%), Tommy Thompson 0 (0%). |
Michigan
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
Mackinac Straw Poll |
2007-09-23 (979) |
Mitt Romney 383 (39.1%), John McCain 260 (26.6%), Ron Paul 106 (10.8%), Rudy Giuliani 104 (10.6%), Fred Thompson 70 (7.2%), Mike Huckabee 25 (2.6%), Other 16 (1.6%), Duncan Hunter 12 (1.2%), Sam Brownback 3 (0.3%), Tom Tancredo 0 (0.0%). |
Macomb County Straw Poll |
2007-06-05 (327) |
Tom Tancredo 60 (18.3%), Rudy Giuliani 45 (13.8%), Mitt Romney 40 (12.2%), Condoleezza Rice 39 (11.9%), Newt Gingrich 38 (11.6%), John McCain 38 (11.6%), George Allen 21 (6.4%), Mike Pence 15 (4.6%), Ron Paul 14 (4.3%), Mike Huckabee 6 (1.8%), Bill Frist 4 (1.2%), Alan Keyes 2 (0.6%), Candice Miller 2 (0.6%), Other 2 (0.6%), Sam Brownback 1 (0.3%). |
Minnesota
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
Patriot Primary Straw Poll |
2007-11-28 |
Ron Paul 48%, Fred Thompson 15%, Mitt Romney 12%, Mike Huckabee 11%, Duncan Hunter 6%, Rudy Giuliani 3%, Other 3%, John McCain 1%, Tom Tancredo 1%. |
HRCC |
2007-08-23 |
Fred Thompson 21%, Mitt Romney 20%, Ron Paul 16%, Rudy Giuliani 13%, John McCain 11%, Mike Huckabee 8%, John Cox 4%, Sam Brownback 2%, Newt Gingrich 2%, Duncan Hunter 2%, Tom Tancredo 2%. |
Missouri
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
National Caucus #116 |
2007-12-07 (33) |
Ron Paul 28 (85%), Mike Huckabee 5 (15%). |
Springfield Metro Republican Club |
2007-11-01 (109) |
Ron Paul 85 (78%), Mike Huckabee 11 (10%), Mitt Romney 6 (6%), Richard Michael Smith 4 (4%), Fred Thompson 2 (2%), Rudy Giuliani 1 (1%), Other 0 (0%). |
2007-08-05 (250?) |
Fred Thompson 33%, Mitt Romney 15%, Ron Paul 14%, Duncan Hunter 10%, Tom Tancredo 10%, John Cox 6%, Newt Gingrich 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, John McCain 2%, Tommy Thompson 2%, Sam Brownback 1%, Rudy Giuliani 1%. |
Montana
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
2007-08-15 (85) |
Fred Thompson 25 (29%), Rudy Giuliani 22 (26%), John McCain 13 (15%), Mitt Romney 13 (15%), Newt Gingrich 6 (7%), Sam Brownback 3 (4%), Ron Paul 3 (4%). |
Nebraska
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
2007-09-14 (387) |
Fred Thompson 36%, Other 33%, John McCain 16%, Rudy Giuliani 15%. |
Nevada
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
Conservative Leadership Conference |
2007-10-13 (186) |
Ron Paul 61 (33%), Mitt Romney 30 (16%), Duncan Hunter 27 (15%), Other 23 (11%), Fred Thompson 14 (8%), Rudy Giuliani 12 (6%), Alan Keyes 7 (4%), Mike Huckabee 6 (3%), Tom Tancredo 3 (2%), John McCain 2 (1%), Sam Brownback 1 (1%). |
New Hampshire
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
2007-09-16 (173) |
Ron Paul 114-115 (66%), Fred Thompson 17-18 (10%), Rudy Giuliani 15-16 (9%), Mike Huckabee 12 (7%), Mitt Romney 5-6 (3%), John Cox 3-4 (2%), Tom Tancredo 3-4 (2%), John McCain 2 (1%), Sam Brownback 1 (0.5%). |
|
Republican Party |
2007-08-18 (286) |
Ron Paul 208 (72.7%), Mitt Romney 26 (9.1%), Mike Huckabee 20 (7.0%), Tom Tancredo 8 (2.8%), John McCain 7 (2.4%), John Cox 5 (1.7%), Duncan Hunter 5 (1.7%), Rudy Giuliani 3 (1.0%), Fred Thompson 3 (1.0%), Sam Brownback 1 (0.3%). |
New Jersey
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
2007-09-29 (100?) |
Ron Paul 77%, Fred Thompson 12%, Mitt Romney 5%, Rudy Giuliani 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Duncan Hunter 1%, Tom Tancredo 1%, Sam Brownback 0 (0%), John Cox 0 (0%), Alan Keyes 0 (0%), John McCain 0 (0%). |
|
GOP Poll |
2007-03-31 (224) |
Rudy Giuliani 151 (67.4%), Other 37 (16.5%), John McCain 22 (9.8%), Mitt Romney 14 (6.3%). |
New York
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
Young Republicans |
2007-11-06 (60) |
Ron Paul 26 (43%), Rudy Giuliani 21 (35%), Mitt Romney 6 (10%), John McCain 4 (7%), Mike Huckabee 2 (3%), Duncan Hunter 1 (2%), Tom Tancredo 0 (0%), Fred Thompson 0 (0%). |
North Carolina
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
Wake County Young Republicans |
2007-12-06 (100?) |
Ron Paul 53%, Rudy Giuliani 21%, Mike Huckabee 13%, Mitt Romney 11%, Other 2%. |
Republican Party |
2007-08-14 (41) |
Ron Paul 15 (37%), Fred Thompson 13 (32%), Mike Huckabee 4 (10%), Newt Gingrich 3 (7%), Mitt Romney 3 (7%), Rudy Giuliani 2 (5%), John McCain 1 (2%). |
North DAKOTA
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
GOP |
2007-10-26 (250?) |
Mitt Romney 29%, Rudy Giuliani 22%, Fred Thompson 21%, John McCain 14%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Ron Paul 4%, Other 4%, Condoleezza Rice 2%. |
Ohio
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
2007-09-24 (2300?) |
Fred Thompson 33%, Rudy Giuliani 24%, Mitt Romney 17%, John McCain 11%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Sam Brownback 4%, Duncan Hunter 2%, Ron Paul 1%, Tom Tancredo 1%. |
|
Lincoln-Hayes 5th District Dinner |
2007-06-08 (166) |
Fred Thompson 54 (33%), Rudy Giuliani 30 (18%), Mitt Romney 30 (18%), John McCain 19 (11%), Newt Gingrich 18 (11%), Other 15 (9%). |
Republican Party |
2007-03-25 (800?) |
Rudy Giuliani 30.9%, John McCain 25.8%, Other 14.4%, Fred Thompson 12.1%, Mitt Romney 8.6%, Newt Gingrich 8.2%. |
Oklahoma
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
Oklahoma Conservative PAC |
2007-12-16 |
Ron Paul 16 (44%), Fred Thompson 6 (17%), Mike Huckabee 4 (11%), Tom Tancredo 4 (11%), John McCain 2 (6%), Jerry Curry 1 (3%), Duncan Hunter 1 (3%), Mitt Romney 1 (3%), Other 1 (3%). |
Tulsa State Fair |
2007-10-08 (176) |
Ron Paul 73 (41%), Mike Huckabee 23 (13%), Fred Thompson 21 (12%), Mitt Romney 16 (9%), Rudy Giuliani 15 (9%), Newt Gingrich 9 (5%), John McCain 9 (5%), Tom Tancredo 3 (2%), Sam Brownback 2 (1%), Susan Ducey 2 (1%), Condoleezza Rice 2 (1%), Duncan Hunter 1 (1%), Daniel Gilbert 0 (0%), Alan Keyes 0 (0%), Keith Sprankle 0 (0%). |
Oregon
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
Portland Straw Poll |
2007-10-06 (115) |
Ron Paul 77 (67%), Mitt Romney 18 (16%), Fred Thompson 12 (10%), Mike Huckabee 5 (4%), Rudy Giuliani 2 (2%), John McCain 1 (1%). |
Pennsylvania
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
Allegheny County Straw Poll |
2007-08-27 (62) |
Ron Paul 28 (45%), Rudy Giuliani 9 (15%), Mitt Romney 9 (15%), Fred Thompson 8 (13%), Mike Huckabee 2 (3%), Other 2 (3%), Sam Brownback 1 (2%), Duncan Hunter 1 (2%), John McCain 1 (2%), Colin Powell 1 (2%), Newt Gingrich 0 (0%), Tom Tancredo 0 (0%). |
2007-04-23 |
Fred Thompson 34%, Newt Gingrich 16%, Rudy Giuliani 16%, Mitt Romney 15%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Sam Brownback 4%, Duncan Hunter 4%, John McCain 3%, Ron Paul 3%, Jim Gilmore 1%. |
South Carolina
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
Aiken County Republican Party |
2007-12-20 (105) |
Ron Paul 31 (30%), Fred Thompson 29 (28%), Mike Huckabee 18 (17%), Mitt Romney 12 (11%), Rudy Giuliani 6 (6%), John McCain 6 (6%), Duncan Hunter 3 (3%), Hugh Cort 0 (0%), John Cox 0 (0%), Cap Fendig 0 (0%), Daniel Gilbert 0 (0%), Tom Tancredo 0 (0%). |
2007-09-20 (539) |
Mike Huckabee 206 (38.2%), Ron Paul 179 (33.2%), Fred Thompson 43 (8.0%), Sam Brownback 29 (5.4%), Duncan Hunter 25 (4.6%), Mitt Romney 14 (2.6%), Daniel Gilbert 12 (2.2%), John McCain 10 (1.9%), Other 9 (1.7%), Hugh Cort 7 (1.3%), Rudy Giuliani 5 (0.9%). |
|
Georgetown County Straw Poll |
2007-07-28 (223) |
Fred Thompson 102 (45.7%), Ron Paul 40 (17.9%), Mitt Romney 37 (16.6%), Duncan Hunter 15 (6.7%), Rudy Giuliani 13 (5.8%), John McCain 7 (3.1%), Sam Brownback 6 (2.7%), Newt Gingrich 2 (0.9%), Daniel Gilbert 1 (0.4%). |
Lexington County Convention |
2007-04-27 (163) |
Mitt Romney 67 (41%), John McCain 29 (18%), Rudy Giuliani 26 (16%), Duncan Hunter 16 (10%), Sam Brownback 9 (6%), Fred Thompson 9 (6%), Mike Huckabee 7 (4%). |
Greenville County |
2007-04-21 (421) |
Mitt Romney 132 (31.4%), Mike Huckabee 111 (26.4%), Duncan Hunter 87 (20.7%), Rudy Giuliani 35 (8.3%), Sam Brownback 19 (4.5%), John McCain 17 (4.0%), John Cox 10 (2.4%), Tom Tancredo 5 (1.2%), Fred Thompson 3 (0.7%), Jim Gilmore 1 (0.2%), Ron Paul 1 (0.2%). |
Richland County |
2007-04-21 (126) |
Mitt Romney 50 (40%), Sam Brownback 17 (13%), Rudy Giuliani 15 (12%), Mike Huckabee 13 (10%), John McCain 13 (10%), Duncan Hunter 10 (8%), Tom Tancredo 4 (3%), George W. Bush 2 (2%), John Cox 2 (2%). |
Clarendon County GOP Convention |
2007-04-14 (14) |
John McCain 4 (29%), Newt Gingrich 3 (21%), Condoleezza Rice 2 (14%), Mitt Romney 2 (14%), Fred Thompson 2 (14%), Rudy Giuliani 1 (7%). |
Greenwood County |
2007-04-14 (48) |
John McCain 9 (19%), Rudy Giuliani 8 (17%), Duncan Hunter 8 (17%), Mitt Romney 8 (17%), Newt Gingrich 4 (8%), Ron Paul 4 (8%), Fred Thompson 4 (8%), Sam Brownback 3 (6%), Michael Bloomberg 0 (0%), Mike Huckabee 0 (0%), Tom Tancredo 0 (0%). |
Horry County |
2007-04-14 (140) |
Mitt Romney 54 (39%), John McCain 31 (22%), Fred Thompson 12 (9%), Rudy Giuliani 11 (8%), Duncan Hunter 9 (6%), Other 7 (5%), Newt Gingrich 6 (4%), Mike Huckabee 5 (4%), Sam Brownback 2 (1%), Jim Gilmore 2 (1%), Tom Tancredo 1 (1%). |
Orangeburg County |
2007-04-14 (20) |
Mitt Romney 6 (30%), John McCain 5 (25%), Sam Brownback 3 (15%), Condoleezza Rice 2 (10%), Rudy Giuliani 1 (5%), Mike Huckabee 1 (5%), Mark Sanford 1 (5%), Tom Tancredo 1 (5%). |
York County |
2007-04-14 (90-91) |
Mitt Romney 36 (40%), Mike Huckabee 22 (24%), Rudy Giuliani 10 (11%), Fred Thompson 9 (10%), John McCain 6 (7%), Newt Gingrich 3 (3%), Other 2-3 (2-3%), Sam Brownback 1 (1%), Jim Gilmore 1 (1%). |
Charleston County |
2007-04-13 (240) |
Mitt Romney 36%, John McCain 23%, Rudy Giuliani 14%, Sam Brownback 9%, Duncan Hunter 5%, Newt Gingrich 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Fred Thompson 3%, John Cox 1%, Tom Tancredo 1%, Tommy Thompson 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%. |
Newberry County |
2007-04-09 |
Mitt Romney 62%, Sam Brownback 26%, Duncan Hunter 10%, Rudy Giuliani 3%, Other 5th. |
Beaufort County |
2007-04-07 (103) |
Mitt Romney 36 (35%), Rudy Giuliani 24 (23%), Newt Gingrich 18 (17%), Fred Thompson 14 (14%), John McCain 5 (5%), Mike Huckabee 2 (2%), Tom Tancredo 2 (2%), Duncan Hunter 1 (1%), Tommy Thompson 1 (1%). |
Dillon County |
2007-04-07 |
John McCain 38%, Mitt Romney 23%, Other 15%, Rudy Giuliani 14%, Newt Gingrich 5%, Mike Huckabee 5%. |
Florence County |
2007-04-07 |
John McCain 49%, Mitt Romney 22%, Fred Thompson 12%, Rudy Giuliani 10%, Newt Gingrich 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Alan Keyes 2%. |
Spartanburg County Straw Poll |
2007-03-02 (726) |
John McCain 164 (22.6%), Rudy Giuliani 162 (22.3%), Duncan Hunter 158 (21.8%), Sam Brownback 85 (11.7%), Mitt Romney 80 (11.0%), Newt Gingrich 33 (4.5%), Mike Huckabee 21 (2.9%), Tom Tancredo 10 (1.4%), John Cox 4 (0.6%), Ron Paul 4 (0.6%), Condoleezza Rice 2 (0.3%), Jim Gilmore 1 (0.1%), Tommy Thompson 1 (0.1%), Other 1 (0.1%). |
South Dakota
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
GOP Poll |
2007-09-05 (500?) |
Fred Thompson 25%, Rudy Giuliani 19%, John McCain 14%, Mike Huckabee 13%, Mitt Romney 13%, Ron Paul 8%, Duncan Hunter 4%, Sam Brownback 3%, Tom Tancredo 1%. |
Tennessee
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
2006-03-11 (1311) |
Bill Frist 526 (40.1%), Mitt Romney 205 (15.6%), George Allen 147 (11.2%), George W. Bush 147 (11.2%), John McCain 66 (5.0%), Mike Huckabee 54 (4.1%), Other 43 (3.3%), George Pataki 38 (2.9%), Condoleezza Rice 32 (2.4%), Sam Brownback 22 (1.7%), Rudy Giuliani 15 (1.1%), Newt Gingrich 13 (1.0%), Chuck Hagel 3 (0.2%). |
Texas
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
GOP Poll |
2007-09-01 (1302) |
Duncan Hunter 534 (41.0%), Fred Thompson 266 (20.4%), Ron Paul 217 (16.7%), Mike Huckabee 83 (6.4%), Rudy Giuliani 78 (6.0%), Mitt Romney 61 (4.7%), Ray McKinney 28 (2.2%), John Cox 10 (0.8%), John McCain 8 (0.6%), Sam Brownback 6 (0.5%), Tom Tancredo 6 (0.5%), Hugh Cort 3 (0.2%), Other 2 (0.2%). |
Utah
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
2007-06-08 (1295) |
Mitt Romney 1042 (80.5%), Ron Paul 70 (5.4%), Rudy Giuliani 57 (4.4%), John McCain 54 (4.2%), Tom Tancredo 19 (1.5%), Tommy Thompson 16 (1.2%), Fred Thompson 15 (1.2%), Mike Huckabee 12 (0.9%), Sam Brownback 8 (0.6%), Newt Gingrich 1 (0.1%), Stan Lockhart 1 (0.1%). |
Virginia
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
Republican Party of Virginia Advance |
2007-12-01 (479) |
Ron Paul 182 (38.0%), Fred Thompson 112 (23.4%), Mike Huckabee 51 (10.6%), Rudy Giuliani 45 (9.4%), Mitt Romney 43 (9.0%), John McCain 23 (4.8%), Duncan Hunter 19 (4.0%), Tom Tancredo 4 (0.8%). |
2006-11-11 (146) |
Newt Gingrich 45 (31%), Mitt Romney 21 (14%), Sam Brownback 18 (12%), John McCain 18 (12%), Mike Huckabee 11 (8%), Rudy Giuliani 10 (7%), Other 9 (6%), Duncan Hunter 6 (4%), Bill Frist 4 (3%), Chuck Hagel 2 (1%), George Pataki 2 (1%). |
Washington
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
Ronald Reagan Club |
2007-10-25 (154) |
Ron Paul 58 (38%), Fred Thompson 34 (22%), Rudy Giuliani 23 (15%), Mitt Romney 17 (11%), Mike Huckabee 15 (10%), John McCain 4 (3%), Duncan Hunter 3 (2%), Sam Brownback 0 (0%), Tom Tancredo 0 (0%). |
2007-10-10 (417) |
Rudy Giuliani 113 (27.1%), Fred Thompson 96 (23.0%), Mitt Romney 71 (17.0%), Ron Paul 51 (12.2%), Mike Huckabee 48 (11.5%), Duncan Hunter 17 (4.1%), John McCain 12 (2.9%), Tom Tancredo 5 (1.2%), Sam Brownback 4 (1.0%). |
|
Ronald Reagan Club |
2007-09-26 (123) |
Ron Paul 43 (35%), Fred Thompson 37 (30%), Rudy Giuliani 20 (16%), Mitt Romney 9 (7%), Newt Gingrich 6 (5%), Mike Huckabee 3 (3%), John McCain 3 (3%), Duncan Hunter 1 (1%), Tom Tancredo 1 (1%), Sam Brownback 0 (0%), Jim Gilmore 0 (0%). |
Ronald Reagan Club |
2007-08-22 (160) |
Ron Paul 45 (28%), Fred Thompson 40 (25%), Rudy Giuliani 29 (18%), Mike Huckabee 12 (8%), Mitt Romney 12 (8%), Duncan Hunter 10 (6%), Newt Gingrich 8 (5%), John McCain 3 (2%), Sam Brownback 1 (1%), Jim Gilmore 0 (0%), Chuck Hagel 0 (0%). |
Ronald Reagan Club |
2007-06-21 (97) |
Fred Thompson 42 (43%), Rudy Giuliani 19 (20%), Mitt Romney 10 (10%), Duncan Hunter 7 (7%), Newt Gingrich 6 (6%), Mike Huckabee 5 (5%), John McCain 3 (3%), Tommy Thompson 2 (2%), Ron Paul 1 (1%), Tom Tancredo 1 (1%), Other 1 (1%), Sam Brownback 0 (0%), Jim Gilmore 0 (0%), Chuck Hagel 0 (0%). |
Ronald Reagan Club |
2007-05-17 (202) |
Fred Thompson 34%, Mitt Romney 19%, Rudy Giuliani 17%, Mike Huckabee 11%, Newt Gingrich 10%, John McCain 4%, Duncan Hunter 2%, Chuck Hagel 1%, Tom Tancredo 1%, Other 1%, Sam Brownback 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Ron Paul 0%, Tommy Thompson 0%. |
GOP Poll |
2007-05-05 (165?) |
Fred Thompson 50%, Mitt Romney 16%, Rudy Giuliani 15%, Duncan Hunter 10%, John McCain 5%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Tom Tancredo 1%, Tommy Thompson 1%, Newt Gingrich 9th. |
Ronald Reagan Club |
2007-04-26 (87) |
Fred Thompson 34 (39%), Mitt Romney 13 (15%), Newt Gingrich 10 (11%), Rudy Giuliani 10 (11%), John McCain 10 (11%), Other 3 (4%), Duncan Hunter 2 (2%), Tom Tancredo 2 (2%), Mike Huckabee 1 (1%), Ron Paul 1 (1%), Tommy Thompson 1 (1%), Sam Brownback 0 (0%), Jim Gilmore 0 (0%), Chuck Hagel 0 (0%). |
Wisconsin
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
2007-05-12 (306) |
Fred Thompson 95 (31.0%), Tommy Thompson 84 (27.5%), Mitt Romney 41 (13.4%), Rudy Giuliani 35 (11.4%), Sam Brownback 14 (4.6%), Newt Gingrich 12 (3.9%), John McCain 10 (3.3%), Tom Tancredo 8 (2.6%), Duncan Hunter 3 (1.0%), Other 3 (1.0%), Ron Paul 1 (0.3%), Jim Gilmore 0 (0.0%), Chuck Hagel 0 (0.0%), Mike Huckabee 0 (0.0%). |
|
2006-05-21 (357) |
George Allen 61 (17.1%), Rudy Giuliani 60 (16.8%), Newt Gingrich 53 (14.8%), Condoleezza Rice 50 (14.0%), Mitt Romney 40 (11.2%), John McCain 37 (10.4%), Other 22 (6.2%), Sam Brownback 11 (3.1%), Bill Frist 8 (2.2%), Tom Tancredo 8 (2.2%), George Pataki 4 (1.1%), Mike Huckabee 2 (0.6%), Chuck Hagel 1 (0.3%). |
Wyoming
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
Teton County Republican Party |
2007-11-03 (100?) |
Mitt Romney 61%, Rudy Giuliani 12%, Mike Huckabee 10%, John McCain 5%, Ron Paul 5%, Duncan Hunter 4%, Fred Thompson 2%, Other 1%. |
Laramie County Republican Party |
2007-10-28 (103?) |
Ron Paul 49, Fred Thompson 25, Duncan Hunter 15, Mitt Romney 14, Rudy Giuliani 5th, Mike Huckabee 6th, John McCain 7th, Tom Tancredo 8th. |
International
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
Republicans Abroad Thanksgiving Dinner |
2007-11-17 (26) |
Ron Paul 13 (50%), Rudy Giuliani 6 (23%), John McCain 4 (15%), Mike Huckabee 1 (4%), Mitt Romney 1 (4%), Other 1 (4%), Fred Thompson 0 (0%). |
Multiparty
Poll Source |
Date (Count) |
Highlights |
|---|---|---|
National Caucus #125 |
2007-12-07 (18) |
John McCain 5 (28%), Barack Obama 3 (17%), Other 3 (17%), Hillary Clinton 2 (11%), John Edwards 1 (6%), Mike Huckabee 1 (6%), Ralph Nader 1 (6%), Ron Paul 1 (6%), Mitt Romney 1 (6%). |
National Caucus #108 |
2007-12-07 (6) |
Cynthia McKinney 3 (50%), Jared Ball 1 (17%), Frank Moore 1 (17%), Ron Paul 1 (17%). |
National Caucus #120 |
2007-12-07 (18) |
Ron Paul 15 (83%), Other 2 (11%), Tom Tancredo 1 (6%). |
National Caucus #135 |
2007-12-07 (21) |
Fred Thompson 6 (29%), Mike Huckabee 3 (14%), Hillary Clinton 2 (10%), Rudy Giuliani 2 (10%), Barack Obama 2 (10%), Bill Richardson 2 (10%), John Edwards 1 (5%), Al Gore 1 (5%), John McCain 1 (5%), Mitt Romney 1 (5%). |
Pioneer Park Straw Poll |
2007-11-28 (322) |
Ron Paul 240 (74.5%), Other 56 (17.4%), Dennis Kucinich 26 (8.1%). |
FRC Values Voters Poll |
2007-10-20 (5775) |
Mitt Romney 1595 (27.62%), Mike Huckabee 1565 (27.10%), Ron Paul 865 (14.98%), Fred Thompson 564 (9.77%), Other 396 (6.86%), Sam Brownback 297 (5.14%), Duncan Hunter 140 (2.42%), Tom Tancredo 133 (2.30%), Rudy Giuliani 107 (1.85%), John McCain 81 (1.40%), Barack Obama 9 (0.16%), Joe Biden 5 (0.09%), Hillary Clinton 5 (0.09%), John Edwards 4 (0.07%), Dennis Kucinich 4 (0.07%), Christopher Dodd 2 (0.03%), Bill Richardson 2 (0.03%), Mike Gravel 1 (0.02%). |
Blue Hill Fair |
2007-09-06 (595) |
Hillary Clinton 156 (26.2%), Barack Obama 120 (20.2%), Other 52 (8.7%), John Edwards 47 (7.9%), Mitt Romney 46 (7.7%), Rudy Giuliani 43 (7.2%), Fred Thompson 40 (6.7%), Dennis Kucinich 28 (4.7%), Bill Richardson 18 (3.0%), John McCain 12 (2.0%), Ron Paul 8 (1.3%), Mike Huckabee 6 (1.0%), Joe Biden 5 (0.8%), Chris Dodd 5 (0.8%), Mike Gravel 4 (0.7%), Sam Brownback 3 (0.5%), Duncan Hunter 1 (0.2%), Tom Tancredo 1 (0.2%). |
2007-07-07 (294) |
Ron Paul 182 (61.9%), Rudy Giuliani 22 (7.5%), Daniel Gilbert 20 (6.8%), Mitt Romney 13 (4.4%), Mike Huckabee 10 (3.4%), Tommy Thompson 9 (3.1%), Sam Brownback 8 (2.7%), Duncan Hunter 6 (2.0%), Newt Gingrich 5 (1.7%), John Cox 4 (1.4%), Fred Thompson 4 (1.4%), Tom Tancredo 3 (1.0%), Robert Haines 2 (0.7%), George Phillies 2 (0.7%), Dennis Kucinich 1 (0.3%), John McCain 1 (0.3%), Barack Obama 1 (0.3%), Other 1 (0.3%). |
|
2007-06-16 (144) |
Fred Thompson 37 (26%), Ron Paul 24 (17%), Rudy Giuliani 18 (13%), Mitt Romney 13 (9%), John McCain 8 (6%), Mike Huckabee 7 (5%), Jim Gilmore 6 (4%), Newt Gingrich 5 (3%), Other 4 (3%), Sam Brownback 3 (2%), Duncan Hunter 3 (2%), Tom Tancredo 3 (2%), [...] Armey 2 (1%), Hillary Clinton 2 (1%), Barack Obama 2 (1%), Tommy Thompson 2 (1%), Jeb Bush 1 (1%), Tom Coburn 1 (1%), Steve Forbes 1 (1%), Mike Gravel 1 (1%), Bill Richardson 1 (1%), Joe Biden 0 (0%), Chris Dodd 0 (0%), John Edwards 0 (0%), Dennis Kucinich 0 (0%). |
Raw data
Data suitable for spreadsheet import (letters represent hexadecimal-plus characters).
Standing and votes |
|---|
Standings
Votes (including all other votes as "XX") |
Head-to-head
Records of wins, losses, and ties grouped by the Condorcet method.
1. Paul beats Giuliani 44-27, Huckabee 46-20-5, Hunter 43-13-3, Keyes 6-0, McCain 44-21-4, Thompson 36-30-1 (6 wins)
1. Romney beats Giuliani 53-36-3, Huckabee 65-16-5, Hunter 59-7-3, Keyes 6-1, McCain 73-15-2, Paul 36-35-1 (6 wins)
1. Thompson beats Giuliani 49-27-3, Huckabee 54-20, Hunter 49-13-1, Keyes 5-1, McCain 60-18, Romney 44-33-2 (6 wins)
4. Giuliani beats Huckabee 60-22-2, Hunter 51-15-2, Keyes 6-1, McCain 67-20-2 (4 wins)
5. Huckabee beats Hunter 49-17-1, Keyes 5-1-1, McCain 44-36-3 (3 wins)
6. McCain beats Hunter 36-26-5, Keyes 4-2-1 (2 wins)
7. Hunter beats Keyes 4-1 (1 win)
8. Keyes beats none (0 wins)
Total wins
Total number of first-place finishes.
1. Paul (33)
2. Thompson (24)
3. Romney (23)
4. Giuliani, McCain (6)
6. Huckabee (3)
7. Hunter (2)
8. Keyes (0)
Win-place
Total number of top 2 finishes.
1. Thompson 24-20 (44)
2. Paul 33-9, Romney 23-19 (42)
4. Giuliani 6-28 (34)
5. McCain 6-8 (14)
6. Huckabee 3-8 (11)
7. Hunter 2-2 (4)
8. Keyes 0-0 (0)
Win-place-show
Total number of top 3 finishes.
1. Romney 23-19-18 (60)
2. Giuliani 6-28-21 (57)
3. Thompson 24-20-9 (53)
4. Paul 33-9-6 (48)
5. Huckabee 3-8-12 (23)
6. McCain 6-8-8 (22)
7. Hunter 2-2-6 (10)
8. Keyes 0-0-1 (1)
Olympic ratings
Top 3 finishes with 3 points for win, 2 for place, 1 for show.
1. Romney 23-19-18 (125)
2. Paul 33-9-6 (123)
3. Thompson 24-20-9 (121)
4. Giuliani 6-28-21 (95)
5. McCain 6-8-8 (42)
6. Huckabee 3-8-12 (37)
7. Hunter 2-2-6 (16)
8. Keyes 0-0-1 (1)
NASCAR ratings
100 for win, 98 for place, 96 for show, etc., 0 if absent. This rating gives a high weight to total poll presences.
Among 5 polls with no absences: Paul 498, Huckabee 474, Thompson 472, Giuliani 460, Romney 456, Hunter 446, Keyes 432 (tie), McCain 432 (tie).
Among 54 polls with up to 1 absent: Romney 5170, Thompson 5154, Paul 5110, Giuliani 5086, Huckabee 4984, McCain 4822, Hunter 4806, Keyes 432.
Among 74 polls with up to 2 absent: Romney 7208, Giuliani 7002, Thompson 6872, Huckabee 6796, McCain 6696, Paul 6420, Hunter 5804, Keyes 602.
Total votes
Votes (total 31770) in all cases where vote counts are reported.
1. Romney 10405 (32.751%)
2. Paul 5850 (18.414%)
3. Huckabee 5828 (18.344%)
4. Thompson 3368 (10.601%)
5. Giuliani 3027 (9.528%)
6. Hunter 1659 (5.222%)
7. McCain 1591 (5.008%)
8. Keyes 42 (0.132%)
Recent votes
Votes (total 16965) taken after the Ames Straw Poll of 2007-08-11, in all cases where vote counts are reported. This compares recent with overall performance, and avoids giving undue weight to the results of the single largest poll.
1. Paul 4135 (24.37%)
2. Romney 3562 (21.00%)
3. Huckabee 2892 (17.05%)
4. Thompson 2508 (14.78%)
5. Giuliani 1956 (11.53%)
6. Hunter 1022 (6.02%)
7. McCain 850 (5.01%)
8. Keyes 40 (0.24%)